000
ABNT20 KNHC 010230
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
IS LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...BAHAMA ISLANDS...AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.  THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND A WEAK SURFACE LOW.  SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT...PERHAPS OF A SUBTROPICAL NATURE...IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD.

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THE REMNANTS OF
KAREN...EXTEND FROM THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EASTWARD FOR SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES.  THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS IN THIS AREA COULD
WEAKEN A LITTLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT
MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA IS LOCATED
ABOUT 675 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING ONLY
LIMITED AND INTERMITTENT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...AND REGENERATION
APPEARS UNLIKELY DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF KAREN AND MELISSA...PLEASE
SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER KNABB