000
ABNT20 KNHC 301519
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION MELISSA LOCATED ABOUT 570 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...BAHAMA ISLANDS...AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE 
TROUGH AND A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY WESTWARD. 

THE REMNANTS OF KAREN...LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED EAST OF LEEWARD
ISLANDS...ARE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...WHICH IS
PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION OF THIS
SYSTEM...BUT THEY COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. 
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF KAREN...PLEASE SEE THE HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BROWN