000
ABNT20 KNHC 262121
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED SEP 26 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM KAREN...LOCATED ABOUT 1175 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN....LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES
EAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

A NEARLY-STATIONARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF
KEY WEST FLORIDA AND IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...THE FLORIDA
STRAITS AND A PORTION OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AND THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND
THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC OCEAN.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT EXTENDS FROM THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA NORTHWARD ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND
HISPANIOLA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.   LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW BUT
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE.    

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON.  ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL WAVE POSITIONED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC
OCEAN ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS MOVING
WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.  SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE