000 ABNT20 KNHC 250931 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT TUE SEP 25 2007 ...CORRECTED TO ADD MOVE IN THE THIRD PARAGRAPH... FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM KAREN...LOCATED ABOUT 1565 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW NO DEVELOPMENT HAS OCCURRED DURING THE NIGHT. HOWEVER...UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. HOWEVER...THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AND BRING SQUALLY WEATHER TO PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY... AND TO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO BY WEDNESDAY. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND ANY DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN