000 ABNT20 KNHC 250238 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 PM EDT MON SEP 24 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST ADVISORY ON DISSIPATING TROPICAL STORM JERRY...LOCATED ABOUT 705 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES...AND HAS INITIATED ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE...LOCATED ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS MINIMAL THIS EVENING. HOWEVER... UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY. SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES HAS ALSO DIMINISHED THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING SQUALLY WEATHER TO PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY...AND INTO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO BY WEDNESDAY. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN