000
ABNT20 KNHC 240230
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SUN SEP 23 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM JERRY...LOCATED ABOUT 1045 MILES WEST OF THE AZORES.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FROM A WEAK AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.  STRONG SOUTHERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS IN THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD KEEP DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SLOW TO
OCCUR.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED
ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS.  THIS SYSTEM
HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY...BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPRECTED TO BRING SQUALLY WEATHER TO THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS ON MONDAY...AND THIS WEATHER COULD SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD
INTO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.  INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED
ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS
LARGE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON JERRY ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT31 AND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1.  FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON JERRY ARE
ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1.

$$

FORECASTER FRANKLIN