000
ABNT20 KNHC 230929
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS INITIATED ADVISORIES ON
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN...LOCATED ABOUT 1060 MILES WEST OF
THE AZORES.

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM...ONCE IT EMERGES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO LATER THIS
MORNING.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING
TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS.  THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
APPROACHES THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED
ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  THIS
SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR IT TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES NORTHEAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS REMAINS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER KNABB/RHOME