000
ABNT20 KNHC 202123
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU SEP 20 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FOUND A WELL-DEFINED AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT 115 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
TAMPA FLORIDA. THIS SYSTEM IS ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN
A FEW SQUALLS BUT THE OVERALL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED
AND DISORGANIZED.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THIS
SYSTEM TO BECOME A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE AT ANY TIME
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST...AND ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. 

A NON-TROPICAL LOW IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC
ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
LITTLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA