000
ABNT20 KNHC 192126
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED SEP 19 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER
OVER FLORIDA...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC AND THE GULF OF MEXICO HAS NOT
BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.
HOWEVER...SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE CONTINUED TO FALL AND THE
ENVIRONMENT IS GRADUALLY BECOMING FAVORABLE FOR A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE TO FORM...AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. SHOWERS AND
SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER
PORTIONS OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
NORTHEASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ARE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED
WITH THE REMNANTS OF INGRID. ALTHOUGH THIS ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED
TODAY...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA