000
ABNT20 KNHC 190905
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT WED SEP 19 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA AND AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA ARE PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...AND PORTIONS
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.  SURFACE PRESSURES ARE SLOWLY FALLING...
AND A SUBTROPICAL OR A TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD FORM OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA AND
INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM
WILL LIKELY BRING SHOWERS...SQUALLS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER
PORTION OF FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS NORTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE REMNANTS OF INGRID.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE
FOR REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES HAVE
DIMINISHED.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH