000
ABNT20 KNHC 182128
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL
LOW. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE GRADUALLY FALLING IN THE AREA AND
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR A SUBTROPICAL OR A TROPICAL
CYCLONE TO FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WESTWARD INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING SHOWERS...SQUALLS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
OVER PORTION OF FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
NORTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF INGRID. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE FOR
REGENERATION.

SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.  
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
TROPICAL ATLANTIC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA