000 ABNT20 KNHC 180847 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT TUE SEP 18 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA EASTWARD FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA...BUT SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS WHEN THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD OVER FLORIDA AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID ARE LOCATED JUST NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS. REDEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KNABB