000
ABNT20 KNHC 101525
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON SEP 10 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION GABRIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND
LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE LESSER
ANTILLES...IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  THIS SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED
AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10-15 MPH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.  SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15
MPH.  

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH AND AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW ARE PRODUCING A LARGE
BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB