000
ABNT20 KNHC 150233
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM DEAN...LOCATED ABOUT 1390 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT HAS BEEN
INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON. DATA FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT YET HAVE A WELL-DEFINED
CIRCULATION CENTER...AND THEREFORE IS NOT YET A TROPICAL CYCLONE.
HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME
TONIGHT OR TOMORROW AS THE LOW MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR
NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
WINDS WITH THE LOW ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 25 MPH. ALL INTERESTS IN
THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...INCLUDING THE COASTAL AREAS OF
TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM...AS TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WOULD LIKELY BE
REQUIRED IMMEDIATELY UPON THE INITIATION OF ADVISORIES. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN