000
ABNT20 KNHC 141004
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT MON AUG 14 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION FOUR...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
IN THE GULF OF MEXICO CENTERED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. 
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE
LOW THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.  INTERESTS IN THE WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  
 
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.


$$
FORECASTER PASCH/RHOME