000
ABNT20 KNHC 131517
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON AUG 13 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS INITIATED ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOUR...LOCATED IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 520
MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT
90 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CANCUN MEXICO.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW AS THE LOW
MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  INTERESTS IN THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. 
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNASSIANCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.
 
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT34 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES
ON THE DEPRESSION ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 AND UNDER
AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BLAKE