000 ABNT20 KNHC 121501 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT SUN AUG 12 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AT IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AT ABOUT 10 MPH. A LOW PRESSURE AREA...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...HAS FORMED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW AS THE LOW MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE