000
ABNT20 KNHC 301501
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON JUL 30 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA
CENTERED ABOUT 175 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA HAS BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT.  HOWEVER...THE
SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE
MERGING WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN A COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD AROUND 15 MPH.

AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES EAST OF
THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING
TROPICAL WAVE.  THIS AREA SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND SOME
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH