000
ABNT20 KNHC 121500
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU OCT 12 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND WESTERN
ATLANTIC OCEAN ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
BETWEEN PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER-ORGANIZED THIS MORNING AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.
THUS... THE CHANCE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM IS DECREASING.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS
THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN 10 TO 15
MPH.

A SMALL LOW PRESSURE AREA...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS
LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.  DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA