000 ABNT20 KNHC 132229 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2005 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 50 MILES WEST OF THE GRENADINE ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY...AND MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS HAVE KEPT MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT SHOWER ACTIVITY WELL TO THE EAST OF CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER... UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT... AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS... THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE BRIEF PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES... THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... AND PUERTO RICO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART $$