000 ABNT20 KNHC 130329 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2005 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG A TROPICAL WAVE IS CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN PRODUCING A CONCENTRATED AREA OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE DEVELOPING CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT... AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS... THIS SYSTEM COULD BRING SOME GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND ON SUNDAY. THE BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS BEEN PRODUCING ONLY MINIMAL SHOWER ACTIVITY TONIGHT. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM... IF ANY... IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER KNABB $$