000
AXPZ20 KNHC 120833
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sun May 12 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 10N107W to 06N120W. 
The ITCZ continues from 06N120W to beyond 03N140W. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted north of 00N and east of 90W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from  
04N to 11N between 96W and 110W, and from 02N to 08N between 
110W and 131W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to locally fresh winds prevail west of the Baja
California peninsula extending S to near the Revillagigedo
Island. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range over these waters. Light to
gentle winds, and seas of 3 ft or less, are over the Gulf of 
California. Light winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, prevail elsewhere 
over the open waters off Mexico. 

For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh NW winds, and seas 
of 6 ft or less, will prevail off the Baja California waters 
through the middle of next week. Gentle to locally moderate winds
and moderate seas are expected elsewhere across the open 
offshore waters of Mexico through the middle of next week. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Gentle to locally moderate winds, and seas of 6-7 ft, are found
between Colombia and the Galapagos Islands. Light to gentle 
winds, and seas of 4-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate S to SW winds are expected 
south of the monsoon trough through the middle of next week. 
Southerly swell moving through the regional waters will support 
seas of 6-7 ft S of the Galapagos Islands through early Mon. 
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds will prevail with moderate seas 
of 6 ft or less. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N. The pressure
gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in
the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting gentle to moderate winds N
of the ITCZ to near 20N and W of 115W. Seas in this area are in 
the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to locally moderate winds, and seas of
5-6 ft, are elsewhere N of the ITCZ and monsoon trough. Gentle 
to moderate winds, and seas of 5-7 ft, are found south of the 
ITCZ and monsoon trough. 

For the forecast, moderate trade winds and moderate seas are 
expected in the trade wind zone N of the ITCZ to near 20N and W 
of 120W through Sun, before seas subside slightly through early 
next week. 

$$
AL