000 AXPZ20 KNHC 242145 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Fri Nov 24 2023 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2135 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Depression Twenty-E is centered near 13.5N 122.8W at 24/2100 UTC, moving north-northwest at 3 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas near the center are 11 ft. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from 11N to 16N and between 119W and 124. A general motion toward the north-northwest is expected to continue through today. A generally northward motion at a slower forward speed is expected over the weekend. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days, and the depression is likely to become a remnant low by Sunday. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest Twenty-E NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Costa Rica near 10N85W to 09N100W and to 10N115W. The ITCZ stretches from 09N128W to beyond 08N140W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is present north of 04N and east of 84W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 06N to 10N and west of 135W ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... High pressure building west of the Baja California peninsula dominates the regional waters. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressures across the SW United States and NW Mexico sustain moderate to fresh southerly winds in the northern Gulf of California. These winds were confirmed by a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Seas in these waters are 3-5 ft. Light to gentle winds and seas of 2-4 ft prevail in the rest of the Gulf of California. Light to locally moderate northerly winds are prevalent in the offshore waters of Baja California. A large swell region is entering the northwest waters, supporting seas of 6-8 ft across the North Baja California waters. Seas of 5-7 ft are found in the remaining offshore waters of Baja California. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent in the remainder of the Mexican offshore waters, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec. For the forecast, fresh to locally strong gap winds will prevail near the coast in the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Sat. NW swell over the far offshore waters off Baja California Norte will reach Guadalupe Island by late today, the waters off Cabo San Lazaro early Sun, and the Revillagigedo Islands by late Sun. Early next week, a strong high pressure over Texas may sustain strong to near gale northerly winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec, lasting for a few days. Seas could build to 11 ft by Tue night. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh easterly winds continue across the Gulf of Papagayo region, mainly east of 92W. These winds are sustaining seas of 5-7 ft. Elsewhere, mariners should be aware that the deep convection affecting Panama and the offshore waters is generating strong to near gale-force winds. Moderate to locally fresh southerly winds and seas of 5-7 ft are present south of 02S. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent in the remaining waters. For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will pulse at night across and well downstream of the Gulf of Papagayo region through the period. Winds may reach strong speeds early next week. Gentle to moderate winds are expected S of the monsoon trough through Sun when winds will diminish to light to gentle speeds. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see above for more information on Tropical Depression Twenty-E. The rest of the basin, a weak pressure pattern is prevalent, allowing for gentle to moderate winds north of the ITCZ and west of 120W. Seas in these waters are 7-10 ft, with the highest occurring near 30N140W. Moderate to fresh southerly winds and seas of 6-8 ft are present south of the ITCZ and monsoon trough, primarily west of 115W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere. For the forecast, a large region of NW swell is entering the NW waters and will propagate southeastward through the weekend, gradually increasing seas. This swell will spread across the western waters, with seas greater than 8 ft covering much of the waters west of 120W by the end of the weekend into early next week. Winds and seas associated with T.D. Twenty-E are expected to cover a relatively small and localized area. $$ DELGADO