000
AXPZ20 KNHC 241543
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Fri Nov 24 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1555 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Depression Twenty-E is centered near 13.4N 123.0W at 
24/1500 UTC, moving northwest at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central
pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with 
gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas near the center are 10 ft based on
recent altimeter data. Scattered moderate and isolated strong 
convection is noted within 90 nm SE semicircle. A general motion
toward the northwest is expected to continue through today. A 
generally northward motion at a slower forward speed is expected 
over the weekend. Little change in strength is forecast during
the next couple of days, and the depression is likely to become 
a remnant low by Sunday. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS 
FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest 
Twenty-E NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at 
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Costa Rica near 09N84W
to 10N100W and to 10N115W. The ITCZ stretches from 09N128W to 
beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate convection is observed north
of the monsoon trough and east of 89W and from 05N to 10N and
west of 133W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A 1035 mb high pressure system off the Pacific NW of the United
States extends southward into the tropical eastern Pacific
waters. The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge
and lower pressures in NW Mexico support moderate to fresh
southerly winds in the northern and central Gulf of California.
Seas in these waters are 3-5 ft. Moderate NW winds and seas of
5-8 ft are present off Baja California Norte. Elsewhere, Moderate
to fresh northerly winds are occurring in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec, along with seas of 5-6 ft. 

Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent in the
remainder of the Mexican offshore waters.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong gap winds will prevail
near the coast in the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Sat. NW swell 
over the far offshore waters off Baja California Norte will reach
Guadalupe Island by late today, the waters off Cabo San Lazaro 
early Sun, and the Revillagigedo Islands by early Mon. A weak 
cold front will approach the offshore waters of Baja California 
Norte on Sun. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to fresh offshore gap winds are occurring in the Gulf 
of Papagayo region, east of 92W. Seas in these waters are 5-6 ft. 
Gentle to moderate southerly winds and seas of 4-6 ft are evident
south of the monsoon trough. In the rest of the basin, light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will pulse at night 
across and well downstream of the Gulf of Papagayo region through
the period. Winds may reach strong speeds early next week. Gentle
to moderate winds are expected S of the monsoon trough through 
Sun when winds will diminish to light to gentle speeds. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please see above for more information on Tropical Depression 
Twenty-E.

Elsewhere, a 1035 mb high pressure system centered off the US 
Pacific NW extends southward into our waters, producing a modest
pressure gradient across the region. Gentle to moderate winds 
are noted north of the ITCZ and west of 120W, with seas of 6-9 
ft. Moderate winds or weaker winds and moderate seas are noted 
south of the monsoon trough.

For the forecast, NW swell over the northern waters will 
gradually increase seas through the weekend. This swell will 
spread across the western waters, with seas greater than 8 ft 
covering much of the waters west of 120W by the end of the 
weekend into early next week. Winds and seas associated with T.D.
Twenty-E are expected to cover a relatively small and localized 
area.

$$
DELGADO