000 AXPZ20 KNHC 240844 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Fri Nov 24 2023 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0830 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Depression Twenty-E is centered near 13.0N 122.7W at 24/0900 UTC, moving northwest at 7 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas within these winds are assumed to be around 10 ft in NW swell. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted within 90 nm se semicircle. The depression is moving toward the northwest and forecast to slow down and turn northward or north- northeastward over the next couple of days. The current forecast shows little change in intensity before the system becomes a remnant low by 60 hours and dissipates in about 4 days. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest Twenty-E NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 12N114W. The ITCZ begins from near 10N128W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted E of 80W, and from 05N to 09N between 130W and 140W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Fresh to locally strong winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, are found over the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between high pressure west of the Baja California peninsula and low pressure across NW Mexico is supporting moderate winds across the outer waters off Baja California Norte, where seas are 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Gentle to moderate winds are noted elsewhere west of the Baja California peninsula, with light to gentle winds over the remainder of the open waters off SW Mexico. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range in NW swell. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 2-4 ft, are noted inside the Gulf of California. For the forecast, fresh to locally strong gap winds will prevail near the coast in the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Sat. NW swell over the far offshore waters off Baja California Norte will reach Guadalupe Island by late today, the waters off Cabo San Lazaro early Sun, and the Revillagigedo Islands by early Mon. A weak cold front will approach the offshore waters of Baja California Norte on Sun. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to locally fresh offshore gap winds are over and downwind the Gulf of Papagayo. Light winds are elsewhere N of the monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate winds are found S of the monsoon trough. Seas of 6-7 ft are well offshore Guatemala, with seas of 4-6 ft elsewhere. For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will pulse at night across and well downstream of the Gulf of Papagayo region through the period. Gentle to moderate winds are expected S of the monsoon trough through Sun when winds will diminish to light to gentle speeds. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see above for more information on Tropical Depression Twenty-E. Elsewhere, high pressure across the NE Pacific is centered to the north of 40N, producing a modest pressure gradient across the regional waters. Gentle to moderate winds are noted north of the ITCZ and west of 120W, with seas of 6-9 ft. Gentle to locally moderate winds, and 4 to 6 ft seas, are noted south of the monsoon trough. For the forecast, NW swell over the northern waters will gradually increase seas through the weekend. This swell will spread across the western waters, with seas greater than 8 ft covering much of the waters west of 120W by the end of the weekend into early next week. Winds and seas associated with T.D. Twenty-E are expected to cover a relatively small and localized area. $$ AL