000
AXPZ20 KNHC 231529
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sun Jul 23 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 88W from El Salvador 
southward to 05N, moving west around 15 to 20 kt. Nearby 
convection is described below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 104W, from 05N to 17N, 
moving west at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is described 
below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 116W, from 05N to 17N moving
west around 15 kt. Nearby convection is described below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 08N95W to 08N105W.
Segments of the ITCZ extend from 08N105W to 09N115W, and from 
09N118W to 12N130W to beyond 10N140W. Scattered moderate 
convection is evident from 08N to 12N between 88W and 91W, from 
04N to 07N between 87W and 98W, and from 06N to 10N between 98W 
and 105W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A plume of moderate northerly gap winds are in the immediate 
Gulf of Tehuantepec, with seas of 4-5 ft. Gentle to moderate 
winds are noted elsewhere across Mexican offshore waters, with 
3-5 ft seas over the open waters, and 1-3 ft seas in the Gulf of 
California. Thunderstorm activity leftover from overnight is
active off the coast of Chiapas, just south of Cabo Corrientes, 
and over the southern Gulf of California.

For the forecast, expect moderate to fresh gap winds across the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec during the overnight hours through Mon, then 
fresh to strong thereafter. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate
seas will persist elsewhere, except for locally gusty winds near
clusters of showers and thunderstorms in portions of the Gulf of
California during overnight hours.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Showers and thunderstorms linger from overnight offshore of 
Colombia and Costa Rica. Moderate to fresh NE to E gap winds are 
likely over the Gulf of Papagayo. Moderate southerly winds are S 
of 03N, with seas of 4-6 ft in S-SW swell. Elsewhere, mainly 
light to gentle breezes and 3-4 ft seas are evident.

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds will pulse across 
the Gulf of Papagayo each night through Thu night, with moderate
to rough seas. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate 
seas will persist elsewhere, except for locally gusty winds near 
clusters of showers and thunderstorms from Colombia to Costa 
Rica.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A trough near 18N133W is all that remains of what was T.D.
Four-E. Moderate winds and seas persist within 90 nm north of the
trough, but conditions are improving. Gentle to moderate winds 
and moderate seas prevail elsewhere, except fresh SE winds S of 
the Equator and W of 115W.

For the forecast, the remnant trough of Four-E will gradually
dissipate as it moves westward. Elsewhere, moderate to 
occasionally fresh winds can be expected N of the convergence 
zone and W of 130W, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere 
through the middle part of the week. Moderate seas will prevail, 
building to around 8 ft S of the Equator and W of 95W Mon night 
through Wed.

$$
Christensen