000 AXPZ20 KNHC 230225 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Sun Jul 23 2023 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0120 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVE... The axis of a tropical wave is near 84W/85W from eastern Honduras and Nicaragua southward to across Costa Rica, N of 04N, moving west around 15 kt. Nearby convection is described below. The axis of a tropical wave is near 101W, N of 03N into SW Mexico, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is described below. The axis of a tropical wave is near 114W, N of 05N, moving west around 15 to 20 kt. Nearby convection is described below. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N74W to 10N88W to 07N100W to 08N109W. The ITCZ extends from 08N109W to 14N127W to beyond 07N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is evident from 02N to 09N between 77W and 84W, from 04N to 10N between 90W and 105W, from 02N to 10N between 110W and 115W. Scattered moderate convection is evident from 08N to 10N between 85W and 90W, from 02N to 04N between 86W and 90W, from 05N to 13N between 115W and 124W, and from 07.5N to 10.5N between 133W and 140W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Moderate to fresh N gap winds are in the immediate Gulf of Tehuantepec, with seas of 4-5 ft. Gentle to moderate winds are noted elsewhere across Mexican offshore waters, with 3-5 ft seas over open waters, and 1-3 ft seas in the Gulf of California. Afternoon and evening deep convection is across much of western Mexico approaching Pacific coastal locations. For the forecast, expect moderate to fresh gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec during the overnight hours through Mon, then fresh to strong thereafter. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will persist elsewhere. Possible locally gusty winds across the northern Gulf of California tonight near scattered showers and thunderstorms. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... A large complex of showers and thunderstorms is off the west coast of Colombia to across Panama and the adjacent waters, moving W. This may be associated with the tropical wave that is moving across the area. Higher winds and seas may be near this convection. No significant convection is active elsewhere over the Pacific offshore waters of Central America and northwestern South America. However, sea breeze related showers and thunderstorms are active over much of the inland terrain from Colombia to Guatemala to near the coast. Moderate to fresh NE to E gap winds are likely over the Gulf of Papagayo. Moderate southerly winds are S of 03N, with seas of 4-6 ft in S-SW swell. Elsewhere, mainly light to gentle breezes and 3-4 ft seas are evident. For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds will pulse across the Gulf of Papagayo each night into the middle part of the week, with moderate to rough seas. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas will persist elsewhere, except for locally gusty winds near clusters of showers and thunderstorms from Colombia to Costa Rica. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... The remnant 1010 mb low of what was T.D. Four-E is completely exposed this evening near 16.5N131W. Fresh winds and rough seas may still be active with in 60 nm in the northern semicircle of the low. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere. For the forecast, the remnant low of Four-E will gradually dissipate over the over the next 12-24 hours. Associated fresh winds and rough seas will diminish accordingly. Elsewhere, moderate to occasionally fresh winds can be expected N of the convergence zone and W of 130W, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere through the middle part of the week. Moderate seas will prevail, building to around 8 ft S of the Equator and W of 95W by early Tue. $$ Lewitsky