000
AXPZ20 KNHC 190405
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Wed Jul 19 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0350 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 92W N of 04N, moving west 
around 15 to 20 kt. Isolated moderate convection is N of 04N
between 90W and 100W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 109W from 05N to 17N, moving
west around 15 kt. Numerous moderate isolated strong convection 
is from 05N to 16N between 100W and 113W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 131W from 04N to 18N, moving
west around 15 kt. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from
05N to 11N between 127W and 136W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N82W to 06N100W to 07N130W. 
The ITCZ extends from 07N130W to 03N140W. For information about
convection, see the Tropical Waves Section. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 7 to 8 ft, are over the Gulf
of Tehuantepec. Gentle to moderate NW winds are along the Baja
California offshore waters with seas to 5 ft. Light to gentle 
winds prevail elsewhere with seas to 5 ft, except for 1-2 ft 
over the Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong northerly winds will persist 
in the Tehuantepec region through Thu evening. A ridge will 
prevail across the Baja California offshore waters with gentle to
moderate northerly winds and moderate seas through Fri. Gentle 
to moderate southerly winds in the Gulf of California will become
moderate with locally fresh Wed and Thu, seas are expected to be
slight to moderate.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong winds, and seas to 7 ft are over and downwind of
the Gulf of Papagayo. Moderate to fresh winds are over the Gulf 
of Panama. Gentle to locally moderate southerly winds are between
Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands with seas to 5 ft. Light to 
gentle winds prevail elsewhere with seas to 4 ft.

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE to E winds will to pulse in
the Papagayo region through Thu. Moderate to fresh easterly 
winds with moderate to rough seas will persist off El Salvador 
through Wed. Moderate to fresh northerly winds and slight to 
moderate seas are expected in the Gulf of Panama until Thu 
morning. Gentle to moderate southerly winds with moderately seas 
are forecast between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands. For the 
remainder of the offshore waters, light to gentle winds and seas 
of 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell are expected. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails north of 20N. Moderate to fresh winds, and
seas of 5-7 ft, are north of the ITCZ and west of 110W. Gentle 
to moderate winds, and seas of 4-5 ft, are elsewhere N of the 
monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate winds are south of the 
ITCZ/monsoon trough, with seas in the 5-6 ft range.

For the forecast, winds will increase associated with a tropical
wave, currently near 109W, as it moves westward. There is a low 
chance of tropical cyclone development with this tropical wave in
the next 5 days. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh winds with
moderate seas can be expected through the rest of the week.

$$
Ramos