538 
AXPZ20 KNHC 300718
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Tue May 30 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 10N104W to 06N126W. 
The ITCZ continues from 06N126W to 04N140W. Scattered moderate 
isolated strong convection is noted from 01N to 12N E of 92W and
from 04N to 11N between 104W and 121W. 


...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Mainly moderate winds prevail W of the Baja Peninsula, as well 
as over the Gulf of California. Gentle winds are noted elsewhere
over the open waters off Mexico. Seas are 4 to 6 ft in S swell 
over the open waters off Mexico. Seas of 2-3 ft are noted over 
the northern Gulf of California. Seas of 1-2 ft are elsewhere 
over the Gulf, except the entrance to the Gulf where seas of 4-5 
ft are noted. 

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between subtropical high
pressure in the Pacific and a surface trough near the Gulf of
California will support pulses of fresh winds during the
overnight and early morning hours west of the Baja Peninsula.
Fresh to strong S to SW gap winds will briefly occur in the
northern Gulf of California each night through the forecast
period. Seas of 4-6 ft across the Mexico offshore waters will
continue through the week.  

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Gentle to locally moderate S winds prevail in the Ecuador and 
Galapagos Islands offshore waters. Light to gentle winds prevail
elsewhere. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range.

For the forecast, little change is anticipated through the week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the northern waters. The pressure 
gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in
the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to locally fresh winds
N of the ITCZ to near 15N and W of 115W. Gentle to locally
moderate moderate winds are noted S of the monsoon trough and E 
of 115W. Light to gentle winds are noted elsewhere. Seas range
from 5-7 ft S of 15N and 4-6 ft N of 15N.

For the forecast, no major changes are expected. The ridge will 
continue to dominate the region north of 10N and west of 110W 
through mid-week. Mainly moderate NE trade winds will persist 
across the southern periphery of the ridge, especially west of 
120W, and some fresh E winds are expected just N of the ITCZ. A 
new set of long- period S to SW swell will approach the eastern 
tropical Pacific Wed. 

$$
KONARIK