206 
AXPZ20 KNHC 071854
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Sun May 7 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2020 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N78W to 06N94W. The ITCZ 
continues from 06N94W to 04N125W. Scattered moderate isolated 
strong convection is noted from 01N to 08N between 80W and 91W,
from 02N to 07N between 100W and 110W, and from 05N to 10N 
between 118W and 128W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh winds are noted west of Baja California Norte.
Gentle to moderate winds prevails elsewhere west of Baja 
California Sur southward to off Cabo Corrientes...including the
entrance to the Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds are 
noted elsewhere. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range over the open 
waters north of Cabo Corrientes, and 5-6 ft over the waters south
of Cabo Corrientes. Seas over the Gulf of California are in the 
1-2 ft range. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW to N winds will prevail 
along the Baja offshore waters through the middle of the week, 
briefly increasing to fresh to strong speeds at night N of Punta 
Eugenia tonight through Tue. Gentle to locally moderate winds and
moderate seas will prevail elsewhere through Wed. Reduced 
visibilities in haze are possible in the S and SW Mexican 
offshore waters due to smoke produced by agricultural fires. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong winds are over the Gulf of Papagayo region with 
seas to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh winds are over and downstream of
the Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere, 
except to moderate speeds south of the Galapagos Islands. Outside
the seas in the Papagayo region, seas are in the 4-6 ft range. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds will pulse at night 
over the Gulf of Papagayo region through Tue morning. Moderate to
fresh northerly winds are expected across the Gulf of Panama 
through Mon. Gentle to moderate breezes will prevail elsewhere 
into early this week. A large SW swell will reach the Galapagos 
waters early this week. Reduced visibility in haze will be 
possible from Guatemala to Nicaragua due to smoke produced by 
agricultural fires. 
 
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Moderate to fresh winds are noted from 06N to 20N and west of 
115W. Gentle to moderate winds are found from 08N to 11N between 
95W and 115W. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are 
in the 7-9 ft range from 07N to 13N and west of 115W. Seas in 
the 5-7 ft range prevail elsewhere. 

For the forecast, NW to N swell will combine with southerly 
swell to produce seas of 7 to 9 ft between 05N and 18N west of 
115W for the next several days. Moderate to fresh winds across 
the tradewind belt south of 20N will provide a wind wave
component that will combine with the swell to help to maintain 
seas of 7 to 9 ft over this area through midweek. A set of large
SW swell will reach the equator Mon afternoon, building seas to 
9 ft Mon night and Tue.

$$
AL