000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240122
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Mon Apr 24 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N79W to 09N102W. The ITCZ 
continues from 09N102W to 04N135W. Scattered moderate convection
has developed from 01N to 05N between 84W and 96W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh winds dominate the waters off Baja California Norte
with 7 to 10 ft combined seas in NW swell. Moderate winds and 3
to 5 ft seas are ongoing off Baja California Sur and in the Gulf
of California. Light breezes prevail elsewhere with 3 to 5 ft 
combined seas in open waters with southerly swell. The mild 
marine conditions are due to a relatively weak pressure gradient 
in place between 1004 mb low pressure over the Colorado River 
Valley and 1023 mb high pressure centered over the eastern 
Pacific between California and Hawaii. 

For the forecast, fresh NW winds will continue beyond 90 nm 
offshore Baja California Norte overnight as low pressure prevails
over the Colorado River Valley. This pattern will also allow 
fresh gap winds to pulse overnight over parts of the northern 
Gulf of California. Large NW swill will impact waters beyond 90 
nm offshore Baja California Norte into Mon night, before 
subsiding Tue night. Gentle to moderate breezes and slight to 
moderate combined seas will persist elsewhere through late week. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle breezes and slight to moderate combined seas in 
SW swell dominate the region. For the forecast, a weak pressure
gradient will support light to gentle breezes across the region 
through late week. Expect slight to moderate combined seas 
primarily in S to SW swell. 
 
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The subtropical ridge is anchored by 1023 mb high pressure 
centered near 33N139W and extends southeastward to southern 
Mexico. This pattern is supporting moderate trade winds north of
06N and west of 120W. Also, fresh N winds are ongoing N of 26N
and E of 125W. Gentle to moderate breezes are evident 
elsewhere. Combined seas are 6 to 8 ft in the area of fresh N
winds and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, large NW swell will persist into Tue night for
waters north of 25N and east of 127W. High pressure will 
continue to shift west and weaken further early this week, 
leading to a continued decrease in trades.

$$
KONARIK