000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220723
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sat Apr 22 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N78W to 08N90W to 02N105W. The
ITCZ continues from 02N105W to 04N127W to beyond 04N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 08N between 
81W and 92W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A relatively weak pressure gradient is in place between 1005 mb 
low pressure over central Mexico, and 1033 mb high pressure 
centered over the eastern Pacific between California and Hawaii.
Gentle to moderate NW breezes are occurring over the Gulf of 
California and offshore Mexican waters along and north of Cabo
Corrientes, with light NW breezes elsewhere. Combined seas of 
around 5 to 7 ft are occurring off Baja California Norte in NW 
swell. Slight to moderate seas are noted elsewhere. 

For the forecast, high pressure well west of the region will 
support gentle to moderate breezes off Baja California and the 
Gulf of California into the middle of next week, becoming fresh 
to strong off Baja California Norte tonight into Sun night. Fresh
to locally strong gap winds are likely to develop Sun into Mon 
in the northern Gulf of California. A new round of large NW swell
will move into the waters off Baja California north of Punta 
Eugenia today, reach as far south as Cabo San Lazaro through Mon,
before subsiding Tue through Wed. Gentle to moderate breezes and
slight to moderate combined seas will persist elsewhere into 
late next week. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle breezes with seas of 3 to 5 ft dominate waters
early this morning. 

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support light to
gentle breezes across the region into late next week. Expect
slight to moderate combined seas primarily in S to SW swell. 
 
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The subtropical ridge is anchored by 1033 mb high pressure 
centered near 35N132W and extends southeastward to southern 
Mexico. This pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds 
north of 10N and west of 120W. Gentle to moderate breezes are 
evident elsewhere. Combined seas are 6 to 8 ft in NW to N swell 
north of 05N and west of 125W, 4 to 6 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, large NW swell will arrive today and persist
into Sun night for waters N of 25N and E of 125W. High pressure 
will continue to shift west and weaken further Sun into early 
next week, leading to a continued decrease in trades west of 
120W. Seas W of 125W will will also fall below 8 ft Sun.

$$
KONARIK