000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220054
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Apr 22 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0045 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N78W to 08N90W to 03N110W. The
ITCZ continues from 03N110W to 05N130W to beyond 04N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 08N between 
80W and 92W and from 07N to 11N between 116W and 134W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A relative weak pressure gradient is in place between 1006 mb 
low pressure over central Mexico, and 1035 mb high pressure 
centered over the eastern Pacific between California and Hawaii.
Gentle to moderate NW breezes are occurring over the Gulf of 
California and off Baja California, with light NW breezes 
elsewhere. Combined seas of around 8 ft are occurring off Baja 
California Norte, in NW swell. Slight to moderate seas are noted 
elsewhere. 

For the forecast, high pressure well west of the region will 
support gentle to moderate breezes off Baja California and the 
Gulf of California through early next week, becoming fresh to 
strong off Baja California Norte Sat night into Sun night. Fresh 
gap winds may develop Sun into Mon in the northern Gulf of 
California. A new round of large NW swell will move into the 
waters off Baja California north of Punta Eugenia Sat, reach as 
far south as Cabo San Lazaro through Mon, before subsiding Tue 
through mid week. Gentle to moderate breezes and slight to 
moderate combined seas will persist elsewhere into late next 
week. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Gap winds that were previously occurring the the gulfs of
Papagayo and Panama have diminished, leaving light to gentle
breezes in place over all area waters. Combined seas are mostly 
3 to 5 ft.

For the forecast, weak pressure gradient will support light to
gentle breezes across the region into late next week. Expect 
slight to moderate combined seas primarily in S to SW swell. 
 
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The subtropical ridge is anchored by 1035 mb high pressure 
centered near 35N132W and extends southeastward to southern 
Mexico. This pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds 
north of 10N and west of 120W. Gentle to moderate breezes are 
evident elsewhere. Combined seas are 6 to 8 ft in NW to N swell 
north of 05N and west of 120W, 4 to 6 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, large NW swell impacting waters north of 25N 
and east of 125W will diminish through tonight then increase 
again Sat into Sun night. High pressure will continue to shift 
west and weaken further Sun into early next week, leading to a 
continued decrease in trades west of 125W. Seas will also fall 
below 8 ft Sun.

$$
KONARIK