000 AXPZ20 KNHC 061614 CCA TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Fri Jul 6 2018 Corrected to remove special feature section Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1530 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave along 110W moving west at 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is from 06N to 13N between 100W and 115W. A tropical wave is along 94W moving west at 15 kt. No deep convection is associated with it at the time. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N86W to 10N92W to 06N105W to 07N110W to 08N119W. The ITCZ begins near 08N120W and continues along 07N130W to 09N140W. Numerous moderate isolated strong convection is N of 05N E of 87W. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to 14N between 117W and 127W. ...DISCUSSION... OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A surface ridge gradually building between Fabio and the Baja Peninsula will support light to moderate NW to N winds through early Sat. A weak surface low is forecast to develop over the northern Gulf of California Sat morning. These features will induce light and variable winds in the entire Gulf of California and along the west coast of Baja California this weekend. Gulf of Tehuantepec: Fresh to strong winds with seas up to 10 ft will continue to pulse mainly at night through Wed of next week. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Gulf of Papagayo: Fresh to strong nocturnal offshore winds will continue downstream of the Gulf of Papagayo through Mon night. Gentle to moderate easterly winds are forecast elsewhere north of the monsoon trough which as it meanders between 07N and 10N. Light to gentle southerly winds are expected south of the trough axis. Long period cross-equatorial swell will reach offshore of Ecuador by Sat morning. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Post-tropical low Fabio is centered near 22.0N 130.0W at 1500 UTC, moving WNW at 13 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. No significant convection is associated with Fabio. Fabio is expected to continue to weaken and degenerate into a trough of low pressure in a day or two. Fresh to strong NE winds will prevail in the NW quadrant of low through early Sun as the remnant low interacts with a strong high pressure ridge to the north. See latest NHC forecast/advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC for more details. A large area of mixed swell generated by post-tropical low Fabio will maintain seas 8 ft or higher in waters N of 10N and W of 124W today. This area of large seas will gradually shrink in size and shift W of 130W Sat as the remnant low maintains fresh to locally strong winds in its north semicircle. Strong NNW winds north of the area along the California coast will cause 7- 8 ft N swell to reach the waters W of Baja California Norte late tonight. $$ Ramos