000
AXPZ20 KNHC 142220 CCA
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion...CORRECTED
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Wed Jun 13 2018

CORRECTION to SPECIAL FEATURES and DISCUSSION

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
2145 UTC. 
  
...SPECIAL FEATURES...

The center of Tropical Storm Bud is near 22.2N 109.8W at 14/2100 
UTC, or 40 nm S of Cabo San Lucas Mexico moving NNW 6 knots.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb. The maximum 
sustained wind speed is 40 knots with gusts to 50 knots. See 
latest NHC forecast/advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers 
MIATCPEP3/WTPZ33 KNHC for more details. Scattered moderate 
rainshowers are from 19N to 26N between 106W and 113W. Bud will 
continue to weaken and move NNW into southern Baja California 
and the Gulf of California through Friday. Please refer to 
latest NHC Forecast Advisory under WMO/AWIPS headers WTPZ23/ 
MIATCMEP3, and the NE Pacific High Seas Forecast WMO/AWIPS 
headers FZPN03/MIAHSFEP2 for the latest information on this 
system.

The center of Tropical Depression Four-E is near 15.5N 100.1W at 
14/2100 UTC, or 160 nm SSE of Zihuatanejo Mexico moving NW 5 
knots. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. The 
maximum sustained wind speed is 30 knots with gusts to 40 knots. 
See latest NHC forecast/advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers 
MIATCPEP4/WTPZ34 KNHC for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough is along 08N78W to 09N84W to 14N92W to 
15N100W, and from 19N112W, to a 1008 mb low pressure center that 
is near 16N119W, to 08N123W, to 07N132W. The ITCZ continues from 
07N132W beyond 08N140W. Precipitation: Scatttered moderate to 
isolated strong rainshowers are from 06N to 10N E of 96W, and 
from 08N to 13N between 101W and 106W. Isolated moderate to 
locally strong rainshowers are elsewhere from 01N to 17N from 
119W eastward.

...DISCUSSION...

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please read the SPECIAL FEATURES section for details about 
Tropical Storm Bud, and for Tropical Depression Four-E.

Surface anticyclonic wind flow covers the area that is to the NW 
of the remnant low pressure of Aletta, from 10N northward from 
122W westward. A broad surface trough spans Baja California. The 
combination of the ridge, and the Baja trough, will support 
moderate NW winds in the waters N of 25N and west of Baja 
Peninsula through tonight. NW swell originating from north of 
the area supports 7-8 ft seas W of northern Baja California, 
merged and reinforced by swell generated by the remnant low 
Aletta and Tropical Storm Bud, creating a confused state of 
swell direction W of Baja California Sur today.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

The monsoon trough is lifting northward, slowly, across the 
forecast waters, and will be near 12N during the next couple of 
days. Light to gentle winds will prevail north of the monsoon 
trough while moderate to locally fresh S to SW winds prevail S 
of the monsoon trough through the weekend. 
  
REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Post-tropical remnant low Aletta near 16N119W continues to 
weaken. Surface anticyclonic wind flow covers the area that is 
from 10N northward from 122W westward. Little change is expected 
during the next several days. Fresh trade winds will continue 
across the tropics, south of the ridge, through Saturday. 

Northerly swell generated north of 30N is combining with swell 
generated from Aletta and Bud, in order to produce seas of 7 to 
9 feet in the northern forecast waters. 

Long period cross-equatorial SW swell is propagating N of the 
equator E of 130W, resulting in area of 8 to 9 foot seas in 
equatorial waters through Saturday.

$$
mt