000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290338
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
209 UTC Tue May 29 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0245 UTC. 
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

The monsoon trough extends W from Nicaragua near 13N85W along 
the coasts of El Salvador and Guatemala to 13N93W, then turns WSW
to 08N118W to 09N124W where it transitions to the ITCZ. The ITCZ
continues W to 09N130W to beyond 08N140W. Isolated moderate and 
strong convection is noted from 05N to 11N between 85W and 90W, 
from 08N to 12N between 92W and 101W and from 08N to 09N between 
117W and 124W.

...DISCUSSION...

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge extends SE from expansive 1038 mb high pressure centered
over the central Pacific near 43N149W to near the Revillagigedo 
Islands. The ridge will support a fresh NW breeze west of the 
Baja Peninsula through early Tue night, followed by a moderate 
northwest breeze through late Thu as the pressure gradient 
tightens and generates fresh NW flow again late this week. 
Northwest swell, in the form of 7 to 9 ft seas, will arrive near 
30N120W Wed night. The swell will then subside and allow seas to 
subside to between 6 and 7 ft by Fri morning.
   
Gulf of California: Light and variable winds are expected 
through early Thu, except that a fresh southwest breeze is 
forecast between 29.5N and 31N Tue evening through early Wed. A 
fresh to locally strong SW breeze is expected on Wed evening 
through sunrise Thu as a weak surface low develops near 31N114W. 

Gulf of Tehuantepec: Winds are expected to be light and variable 
during the next few days.    
  
OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

The monsoon trough is forecast to gradually shift southward as 
low pressure north of the area weakens.  This pattern will 
support light to gentle southwest to west winds, and 3 to 5 ft 
seas.
  
REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
   
A surface ridge extends into the area from 32N140W to 17N113W. 
Fresh to locally strong trades, and 7 to 9 ft seas, are observed 
south of the ridge from 10N to 20N west of 125W. These conditions
will gradually diminish through Thu. 

Fresh to locally strong north winds, and long period N swell in 
the form of 8 to 10 ft seas, will arrive along 32N between 125W 
and 132W on Mon. The associated north swell will propagate south 
to along 27N between 127W and 135W on Tue. Although the winds 
will diminish to a moderate breeze on Thu, the associated area of
8 ft seas will spread to cover the waters N of a line from 
30119W to 26N125W to 23N136W to 24N140W be Wed evening. This area
will not subside to less than 8 ft until late Fri.
  
$$
CAM