000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260626
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0905 UTC Mon Mar 26 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends southwest from the Pacific coast of 
Colombia from 08N81W to 06N87W where the ITCZ begins and 
continues to 03N110W to 04N130W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is within 240 nm north of 
the ITCZ axis between 127W and 140W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 10N to 22N W of 136W. 

...DISCUSSION...

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A NW to SE ridge extending from 30N127W to 17N110W will prevail
over the region the next several days. NW swell, in the form of 
7 to 9 ft seas, covering all the waters west of the Baja 
Peninsula, will persist through Tue. The pressure gradient is 
tightening as high pressure NW of the area builds east, 
supporting a strong NW breeze along the Pacific coast of the Baja
Norte this morning. The tight pressure gradient will expand 
southward today, with fresh to locally strong flow forecast 
across the entire area west of the Baja Peninsula today and 
tonight, with seas building to 12 ft along 30N later today. The 
pressure gradient will relax on Tue, with strong north winds only
forecast near the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula late Tue 
night. Seas will subside to less than 8 ft across the region on 
Wed.

Gulf of California:  Gentle to locally moderate northerly winds 
are expected through tonight. A weakening frontal trough will 
pass through the far northern gulf waters tonight followed by 
briefly fresh to locally strong NW flow on Tue. Light to gentle 
winds will prevail over the Gulf late this week. 

Gulf of Tehuantepec: Gentle to moderate winds will prevail
through early Fri. Then, high pressure building north of the 
region will induce a gap wind event beginning late Fri, with 
strong to near gale force winds possible. 

The remainder of the Mexico offshore waters should expect gentle
to moderate winds and 4 to 6 ft seas to prevail the next several
days. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gulf of Papagayo: Fresh to locally strong northeast nocturnal 
winds are expected for the next several nights, with seas 
building to 9 ft downstream near 11N87W.

Gulf of Panama: Brief strong northerly winds are expected 
early this morning and again tonight. Fresh nocturnal northerly 
winds are then expected to resume on Tue night.

Elsewhere, gentle to moderate offshore flow will prevail 
generally N of 07N, while light to gentle SW winds are forecast 
S of 07N. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA... 

A narrow swath of strong trades will continue from 19N to 23N 
west of 130W today, while NW swell continues to propagate SE 
across the waters north of 07N west of 110W. A low pressure 
system developing north of the Hawaiian islands will drift 
northward through Tue as high pressure centered north of the area
strengthens. The tightening pressure gradient will support an 
increasing area of strong trades and building swell across the 
waters N of the ITCZ and west of 120W beginning this evening, 
and continuing through Tue night. Conditions will begin to 
improve during the middle of the week.
 
$$
Latto