000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020925
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Feb 2 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: High pressure building behind 
a cold front moving into the northern Gulf of Mexico will induce 
a brief period of minimal gale force winds through Tehuantepec 
from 21Z this evening until 18Z Sat, with winds becoming light 
Sun and Mon. Please refer to the East Pacific High Seas Forecast 
under AWIPS/WMO headers HSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from 03N78W to 05N98W. The ITCZ 
continues from 05N98W to 07N106W to 07N130W to 06N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 13N between 113W 
and 120W.
 
...DISCUSSION...
 
OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Gulf of Tehuantepec: Please refer to special features section 
for more information on the next gale force gap wind event. 

Elsewhere over the open waters, seas are expected to remain at 
4 to 6 ft through Mon as a fairly tranquil pattern prevails. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Nocturnal winds will pulse to fresh to strong each night over 
the Gulf of Papagayo through Mon night. Elsewhere N of 09N, 
gentle to moderate offshore flow will prevail. Moderate to fresh 
winds will pulse to strong during overnight hours in the Gulf of 
Panama as well during the next few days. Elsewhere, gentle to 
moderate S to SW winds will prevail S of 09N this weekend.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A mix of NE and NW swell located south of 10N between 100W and 
115W will slowly subside through the weekend. Another pulse of 
NE swell generated from the next Gulf of Tehuantepec gap wind 
event will propagate across the waters S of 14N and E of 115W.
Elsewhere, a ridge of high pressure extending SW across the NW 
part of the discussion area will persist the next several days. 
NW swell associated with a nearly stationary frontal boundary W 
of the area will build between 130W-140W Sun and Mon.

$$
Mundell