000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030157
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0157 UTC Sat Jun 3 2017

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0130 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
Tropical wave extends from 03N89W to 14N90W moving W at 10 to 15
kt. The wave coincides with subtle troughing aloft between 88W 
and 92W. Isolated moderate convection is from 09N to 14N between
89W and 94W.

Tropical wave extends from 06N98W to 16N98W moving W at 10 to 15
kt. The wave coincides with the base of a mid-level trough N of
11N between 95W and 102W. Isolated moderate convection is from 
05N to 08N between 95W and 98W...and from 10N to 16N between 95W
and 100W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 
The Monsoon Trough extends from 11N100W to 09N110W to 09N120W. 
The ITCZ extends from 09N120W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate 
convection is from 08N to 12N between 98W and 103W...and from 09N
to 14N between 135W and 139W.

...DISCUSSION...   

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
The remnant low of Beatriz continues to be located across
southern Mexico with scattered showers and isolated tstms
occurring generally inland between 88W and 96W...including the 
coastal waters N of 15N between 92W and 97W. Please see local 
forecasts for more information on the lingering potential for 
heavy rainfall and landslides.

Elsewhere...persistent ridging into the area will continue to 
support gentle to moderate NW winds through Monday. A brief pulse
of fresh winds is likely off Los Cabos during the overnight hours
tonight. Seas will remain generally 4 to 7 ft into Sunday. 
Northerly swell will propagate into the waters off Baja 
California Norte beyond 200 nm from late Sunday to Tuesday. 
Otherwise...little change in expected.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 
Moist southerly flow associated with the Monsoon Trough will 
continue to generate scattered showers and isolated tstms 
primarily N of 05N...mainly during early mornings as the 
SW flow converges with overnight drainage flow off the coast. 
Some of this activity could produce locally strong gusty winds 
and rough seas. Light to gentle winds will prevail generally N 
of 08N with 4 to 6 ft seas. Moderate S to SW winds are expected 
S of 08N with corresponding seas of 5 to 7 ft due to a component
of cross-equatorial southerly swell.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
A ridge extends from 30N135W southeastward to the Revillagigedo 
Islands supporting moderate to fresh trade winds generally N of 
the ITCZ axis to 17N W of 130W. Trade wind convergence in this 
area is supporting scattered moderate convection N of the ITCZ W
of 135W with seas to 9 ft. The ridge will continue weakening 
through late Saturday as a cold front moves across the eastern 
Pacific N of the area...allowing the aforementioned seas to 
subside and convection to gradually diminish. High pressure 
building in the wake of the front will support a push of moderate
to fresh northerly flow and 5 to 7 ft seas into the region N of 
23N between 119W and 135W Sunday into Monday...before decaying 
Tuesday. Meanwhile southerly...cross-equatorial swell of 5 to 7 
ft reaching as far north as 10N between 110W and 120W will 
gradually subside through early next week.

$$
HUFFMAN