000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140235
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU APR 14 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.               

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N86W TO 06N94W. ITCZ FROM 06N95W
TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS FROM 03N TO
15N BETWEEN 116W AND 136W.

...DISCUSSION...   

A 1031 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 33N151W AND EXTENDS ITS RIDGE
ACROSS THE EPAC WATERS TO 18N110W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
GENERATED BETWEEN THIS RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURES ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ITCZ REGION CONTINUES TO SUPPORT AN AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG
TRADE WINDS BETWEEN 08N AND 20N AND W OF 119W. THE STRONGEST
WINDS PREVAIL FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 130W AND 138W. SEAS ARE
RANGING BETWEEN 10 TO 12 FT OVER THE AREA OF HIGHEST WINDS AND
SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FT ARE DEPICTED IN LATEST GUIDANCE AND
OBSERVATIONS ELSEWHERE. 

LOOKING AHEAD...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL MOVE E APPROACHING BAJA
CALIFORNIA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT GENERATED BETWEEN THE RIDGE
AND A SURFACE LOW THAT WILL MOVE OVER WESTERN US WILL SUPPORT
FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT WITHIN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS MAINLY N OF 28N BETWEEN 117W AND 123W. THE RIDGE
WILL WEAKEN BY THIS WEEKEND RESULTING IN DIMINISHING WINDS AND
SUBSIDING SEAS.
 
$$

ERA