000
AXPZ20 KNHC 100337
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
0405 UTC TUE NOV 10 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.               

...TROPICAL LOWS...

A 1007 MB LOW PRES IS NEAR 08N117W WITH TROUGH N TO 12N118W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 114W AND 120W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...            

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES 
08N103W TO 1007 MB LOW PRES 08N117W TO 06N125W. THE ITCZ AXIS 
BEGINS NEAR 06N125W AND CONTINUES TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 14N E OF 102W AND FROM 03N TO 09N W OF 
120W.

...DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM FROM 30N117W TO 25N127W DISSIPATING 
FROM THAT POINT TO 24N136W. THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE E 
ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND GULF OF CALIFORNIA 
TONIGHT INTO TUE. THE GRADIENT W OF THE FRONT WILL MAINTAIN A 
SWATH OF NE 20-25 KT WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS FROM 24N-27N W OF 
134W. THE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS 
THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W THROUGH MID WEEK 
SUPPORTING N-NE 20-25 KT WIND FLOW AND SEAS OF 8-11 FT.

GULF OF CALIFORNIA...NW 5-10 KT WINDS ARE OBSERVED S OF 26N 
WHILE SOUTHERLY 10-15 KT WINDS ARE E OF A SURFACE TROUGH AXIS 
EXTENDING FROM 32N114W TO 29N113W. BY TUE MORNING THE TROUGH 
WILL MOVE INLAND MEXICO AND NW WIND FLOW WILL FILL UP THE GULF 
AS A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT MOVES S ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA. 
NORTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 KT WED 
MORNING...CONTINUING THROUGH THU NIGHT. NW WIND FLOW OF 20-25 KT 
WILL RESUME IN THE NORTHERN GULF N OF 30N FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...PULSES OF 20-30 KT N TO NE WINDS WILL 
CONTINUE THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON...THEN THE MAXIMUM NOCTURNAL 
DRAINAGE IS FORECAST AT 25 KT ON TUE AND WED NIGHTS. GUIDANCE 
THEN SUGGESTS NORTHERLY 20-30 KT FLOW WILL RESUME ON THU NIGHT 
WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE SUGGESTED TO START AGAIN FRI MORNING. 
 
$$
NR