000 AXPZ20 KNHC 081616 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE SEP 08 2015 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. 0BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1530 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... HURRICANE LINDA WAS CENTERED NEAR 21.3N 113.9W 956 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 08 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. LINDA HAS STRENGTHENED OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING AND NOW EXHIBITS AN EYE FEATURE...AND HAS BECOME A MAJOR...CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM ACROSS THE SE QUADRANT. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 250 NM NW AND 850 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING WITHIN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 23N TO 28N AND EXTENDED INLAND TO THE W SLOPES OF THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTALES. LINDA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING N-NW DURING TODAY AND THEN BEGIN TO VEER MORE NW THROUGH THURSDAY. LINDA HAS LIKELY REACHED IT'S PEAK INTENSITY AND WILL BE MOVING OVER GRADUALLY COOLER WATERS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...LEADING TO A SLOW WEAKENING TREND TODAY AND THEN MORE RAPIDLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION THAT EXTENDS DEEP INTO THE TROPICS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA...THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL STATES OF MEXICO... PROVIDING THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES. ADDITIONALLY...THE RECENT MOTION AND INTENSIFICATION OF LINDA HAS GENERATED A VERY LARGE AND STRONG WAVE FIELD THAT IS PROPAGATING NORTH AND NORTHWESTWARD...WITH THE 12 FT SEAS AREA HAVE GREATLY EXPANDED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS...AND WAS SAMPLED THIS MORNING BY THE JASON-2 ALTIMETER. LARGE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO BATTER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY AND SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTH HALF TONIGHT...AND INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WEDNESDAY MORNING. THESE LARGE SWELLS ARE ALSO RUNNING NORTHWARD INSIDE THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING AND WILL PROPAGATE THE FULL LENGTH OF THE GULF DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS STRONG SWELL WILL GENERATE VERY LARGE AND POWERFUL SURF ALONG THESE COAST LINES AND CREATE DANGEROUS LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. REFER TO THE LAST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N72W TO 10N86W TO 09.5N96W TO 12N104W...WHERE IT HAS FRACTURED FROM LINDA...THEN RESUMES FROM 14.5N117W TO 10N134W TO BEYOND 06.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 04.5N TO 09N E OF 90W...AND FROM 05.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 90W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ALSO NOTED WITHIN 400 NM SE OF TROUGH BETWEEN 117W AND 140W. ...DISCUSSION... MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS N TO NE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA W OF OF LINDA...GENERATED BY ANTICYLONIC FLOW TO THE SE OF A 1028 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 40N141W. CORRESPONDING SEAS ACROSS NW PORTIONS ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING 5-8 FT IN MIXED NE SWELL AND WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT THIS AFTERNOON. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL DOMINATED MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA AND CONTINUES TO SUBSIDE. $$ STRIPLING