000
AXPZ20 KNHC 071529
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
1605 UTC MON SEP 07 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1300 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.               
   
...SPECIAL FEATURES...

HURRICANE LINDA WAS CENTERED NEAR 17.6N 112.2W 973 MB AT 1500 
UTC SEP 07 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS WERE 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WAS 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER AND 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 
330 NM N AND S QUADRANTS AND 600 NM E SEMICIRCLE. LINDA IS 
FORECAST TO SLOW AS IT CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY 
OR SO. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. LINDA COULD BECOME 
A MAJOR HURRICANE BY TONIGHT. SWELLS GENERATED BY LINDA ARE 
EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE PACIFIC COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA 
SUR LATER TODAY. THESE SWELL ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. REFER TO THE LAST 
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 
KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...            

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 10N84W TO 09N96W TO 
12N103W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 13N115W TO 08N131W TO 06N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS N OF 03N 
E OF 83W...WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-90W AND 
WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-94W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION WAS S OF THE AXIS TO 05N BETWEEN 115W-128W.

...DISCUSSION...

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA REMAINS W OF THE FORECAST AREA. A FRESH 
EASTERLY BREEZE WITH SEAS TO 8 FT REMAINS OVER NW WATERS 
PRIMARILY N OF 23N W OF 138W. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO MOVE 
W...ALLOWING WINDS TO DIMINISH AND SEAS TO SUBSIDE HERE LATER 
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF 
THE AREA ASIDE FROM THE LIGHTER WINDS N OF THE MONSOON 
TROUGH...IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF 
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL HAS MOVED THROUGH 
THE AREA AND IS NOW SUBSIDING...BUT REMAINS IN THE 16-18 SECOND 
PERIOD RANGE ALONG THE COASTLINE OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA. 
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITONS SHOULD IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT TWO 
DAYS OUTSIDE THE AREA N OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO WHERE SWELL 
FROM LINDA WILL BUILD OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. 

$$
SCHAUER