000
AXPZ20 KNHC 061534
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
1605 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1345 UTC.               
   
...SPECIAL FEATURES...

NEWLY-UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM LINDA WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.1N 
109.0W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 06 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 10 KT. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG 
CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE 
TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
AND FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 99W-112W AND SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION WAS OVER THE REMAINING AREA FROM 05N-15N BETWEEN 105W-
115W. WHILE NE SHEAR LIES OVER THE SYSTEM...IT IS NOT EXPECTED 
TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PREVENT STRENGTHENING WHILE LINDA REMAINS 
EMBEDDED IN A MOIST AIR MASS AND OVER 28-29 DEGREE C WATER 
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. LINDA IS EXPECTED TO REACH 
HURRICANE INTENSITY BY MON NIGHT. LINDA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE 
MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. REFER TO THE LAST 
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 
KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...            

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 07N77W TO 07N82W TO 
11N93W TO 10N98W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 11N115W TO 08N130W TO 
07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 60 
NM N AND 270 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 300 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-130W.

...DISCUSSION...

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA REMAINS W OF THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS 
GENERATED BY JIMENA COVER A PORTION OF WESTERN FORECAST 
WATERS... WITH SEAS TO 9 FT N OF 19N W OF 136W. THIS AREA 
COINCIDES WITH A FRESH EASTERLY BREEZE. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO 
SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT HERE MON.
 
ASIDE FROM LIGHT WINDS NEAR THE MONSOON TROUGH AND TO THE N OF 
LINDA INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...GENTLE TO MODERATE 
WINDS AND CROSS-EQUATORIAL SW SWELL PREVAILS. SEAS OVER 8 FT IN 
SW SWELL CURRENTLY LIE IN THE AREA OUTSIDE OF LINDA S OF 20N E 
OF 120W TO A LINE FROM 03.4S114W TO 16N97W. THE AREAL COVERAGE 
OF SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER WITHIN THIS SW SWELL WILL SLOWLY SHRINK 
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE 
SWELL...WITH PERIODS IN THE 19-21 SECOND RANGE...HAS MOVED ONTO 
THE PACIFIC COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE AND INTO SOUTHERN 
CALIFORNIA. SWELL IS BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE ELSEWHERE...BUT 
REMAINS IN THE 17-19 SECOND PERIOD RANGE. THIS SWELL IS BRINGING 
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS. 

$$
SCHAUER