000
AXPZ20 KNHC 060238
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
0405 UTC THU AUG 6 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0200 UTC.               
   
...SPECIAL FEATURE...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS BEGUN ISSUING ADVISORIES ON 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E...LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 129.8W AT 0300 
UTC MOVING W AT 10 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED MSLP OF 1006 MB. MAX 
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. CONVECTIVE 
ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH TEN-E HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY  
AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS 
IT MOVES W IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. REFER TO LATEST FORECAST 
ADVISORIES ISSUED UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5 AND WTPZ35 
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W N OF 08N IS MOVING W AT 10 KT. NO 
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N-16N ALONG 116W IS MOVING W AT 15-20 KT 
AND PRODUCING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION BETWEEN 113W-119W 
NEAR THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS.
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...            

A MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE DISCUSSION AREA FROM 
10N86W TO 07N91W TO 09N103W TO 09N116W TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
TEN-E TO 12N136W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND 
108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM S AND 75 NM N 
OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W AND 125W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE TROUGH 
BETWEEN 132W AND 136W.

...DISCUSSION...
 
A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 32N132W TO 21N117W. THE RIDGE IS 
ENHANCING E-NE WINDS N OF DEPRESSION TEN-E. THE PRES GRADIENT 
ASSOCIATED WITH A BAJA CALIFORNIA THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT 
FRESH NW WINDS N OF 28N WITHIN 180 NM W OF THE BAJA PENINSULA 
THROUGH EARLY THU...WITH SEAS TO 7 FT.  

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...OCCASIONAL FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS ARE 
EXPECTED THROUGH THU MORNING...THEN DIMINISH THU AFTERNOON.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...A BRIEF SURGE OF FRESH TO STRONG N WINDS 
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...WHICH WILL DIMINISH BY THU AFTERNOON.

$$
MUNDELL