000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290235
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
0405 UTC MON JUN 29 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0200 UTC. 
 
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W FROM 06N-13N IS MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 07N WITHIN 60 NM OF WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 117W FROM 06N-13N IS MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. 
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 131W FROM 06N-14N IS MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. 
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM FROM 10N85W TO 08N100W. ITCZ FROM 
08N100W TO 09N105W TO 08N113W TO 10N125W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...

BENIGN MARINE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE.

ENHANCED LOW LEVEL E-NE WINDS NORTH OF A TROUGH NEAR 13N137W IS 
ALLOWING A SMALL AREA OF 8 FT SEAS TO PERSIST FROM 14N TO 16N W 
OF 138W. THE AREA WILL DRIFT W AND WEAKEN IN THE CENTRAL PAC. 

CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE WANING ACROSS THE REGION AS PREVIOUSLY 
BROAD UPPER DIVERGENT FLOW BECOMES MORE CONSTRICTED ABOVE THE 
CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS E OF 100W. ANTICYCLONIC WINDS ALOFT ARE 
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND SLOWLY MIGRATE SE OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. 

WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM STATIONARY HIGH PRESSURE NEAR 30N140W 
TO 21N119W. SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS MOSTLY GENTLE TO MODERATE 
TRADE WINDS PREVAILING ACROSS THE REGION EXCEPT FOR A SMALL AREA 
OF FRESH NE WINDS NEAR THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. GAP WINDS THERE ARE 
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TONIGHT AND MON...THEN INTENSIFY ON TUE.

$$
MUNDELL