000
AXPZ20 KNHC 090252
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
0405 UTC TUE JUN 09 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC. 

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA INLAND CENTERED NEAR 27.8N 113.7W AT 
09/0300 UTC MOVING NNW AT 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 
KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KHNC OR PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCPEP2/WTPZ32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. WIDELY SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF THE CENTER FROM 27N TO 32N BETWEEN 
110W AND 117W. BLANCA IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING DUE TO THE COMBINED 
EFFECTS OF INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR AND MOVING OVER LAND. SEAS 
TO 12 FT REMAIN OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 24N TO 28N. THE 
BLANCA POST TROPICAL LOW IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY WED.  

1008 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 09N96W HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL 
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. PRESENTLY 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 01N TO 
12N BETWEEN 94W AND 103W.  

...TROPICAL WAVES... 

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W N OF 03N MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 04N TO 
13N W OF 90W.
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH IS FROM 10N120W TO 08N130W. ITCZ IS FROM 08N130W 
TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF 
BOTH AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...

THE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH BLANCA ARE BEING SHEARED N 
OF THE CENTER BY SOUTHERLY UPPER LEVEL WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN 
ANTICYCLONE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO CENTERED NEAR 25N103W. A TROUGH 
EXTENDS SOUTH FROM AN UPPER LOW NEAR 29N127W TO 15N126W. BROAD 
SCALE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE S OF CENTRAL AMERICA ENHANCING DEEP 
LAYER CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1008 MB LOW 
CENTERED NEAR 10N95W.

LARGE AREA OF 9 FT SEAS IS S OF 08N E OF 97W...EXCEPT IN LEE OF 
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS DUE TO SW CROSS-EQUATORIAL LONG PERIOD SWELL.

$$ 
FORMOSA