000
AXPZ20 KNHC 082152
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
2205 UTC MON JUN 08 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC. 

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA INLAND CENTERED NEAR 26.7N 113.0W AT 
08/2100 UTC MOVING NNW AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE 999 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 
KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KHNC OR PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCPEP2/WTPZ32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. WIDELY SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND OVER BAJA 
CALIFORNIA FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. BLANCA IS 
RAPIDLY WEAKENING DUE TO THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF INCREASED 
VERTICAL SHEAR AND MOVING OVER LAND. SEAS TO 12 FT REMAIN OVER 
THE PACIFIC WITHIN 60 NM OF THE SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 14 FT 
REMAIN OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 24N TO 28N. THE BLANCA 
POST TROPICAL LOW IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY WED EVENING. 

1008 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N95W HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL 
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. PRESENTLY 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 
14N BETWEEN 88W AND 104W.  

...TROPICAL WAVES... 

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 81W N OF 03N MOVING W AT 15 KT. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 05N W OF 81W.
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH IS FROM 10N120W TO 08N130W. ITCZ IS FROM 08N130W 
TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF 
BOTH AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...

THE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH BLANCA ARE BEING SHEARED N 
OF THE CENTER BY SOUTHERLY UPPER LEVEL WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN 
ANTICYCLONE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO CENTERED NEAR 25N103W. A TROUGH 
EXTENDS SOUTH FROM AN UPPER LOW NEAR 29N127W TO 15N126W. BROAD 
SCALE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE S OF CENTRAL AMERICA ENHANCING DEEP 
LAYER CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1008 MB LOW 
CENTERED NEAR 10N95W.

LARGE AREA OF 9 FT SEAS IS S OF 08N E OF 97W...EXCEPT IN LEE OF 
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS DUE TO SW CROSS-EQUATORIAL LONG PERIOD SWELL.

$$ 
FORMOSA