000
AXPZ20 KNHC 061459
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
1605 UTC MON APR 06 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY  
THROUGH 1500 UTC. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

ITCZ FROM 5N93W TO 2S105W TO 6N125W TO 5N140W. SCATTERED TO 
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S OF AXIS 
FROM 113W TO 118W AND WITHIN 150 NM N OF AXIS FROM 120W-127W.

...DISCUSSION... 
    
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE 
DISCUSSION AREA FROM 32N134W TO 28N 140W. OTHERWISE BROAD UPPER 
LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA...WITH A 75-95 KT 
JETSTREAM FROM 18N132W TO NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. IN THE DEEP 
TROPICS AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N112W. AN 
AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT 
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS FROM 5N-20N E OF 105W.

SURFACE RIDGE IS ACROSS THE AREA N OF 16N W OF 113W. THE PRES 
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE ITCZ IS PRODUCING 20 KT 
TRADES FROM 7N-15N W OF 133W WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 
   
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...20-25 KT NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DECREASE 
TO 20 KT OR LESS THIS EVENING.

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH SEA 8 FEET.  
THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WED.

$$ 
DGS