000
AXPZ20 KNHC 221517
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED AUG 22 2012

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 08N93W TO 12N118W 
THEN TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ EXTENDING TO 1010 MB LOW PRES NEAR 
11N133W THEN TO BEYOND 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 
WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 90W AND WITHIN 
150 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W AND 
120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM W 
QUADRANT OF LOW PRES NEAR 11N133W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE 1011 MB REMNANT LOW OF HECTOR WAS ANALYZED NEAR 22N115W. 
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  
ANOTHER STATIONARY AREA OF 1011 MB LOW PRES LIES SOUTH OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NEAR 20N109W. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW REMAIN A 
FRESH BREEZE OR LESS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 
75 NM W QUADRANT OF THE LOW. CONDITIONS WITH THIS LOW ARE 
EXPECTED TO CHANGE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

FARTHER S...A 1010 MB LOW PRES CENTERED IS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ 
NEAR 11N133W. THERE IS CURRENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 
WITHIN 90 NM W QUADRANTS OF THE LOW AS MENTIONED ABOVE. 
CONVECTION MAY CONTINUE TO PULSE...BUT THE LOW IS NOT EXPECTED 
TO DEVELOP FURTHER.

CROSS-EQUATORIAL SE TO S SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS TO 8 FT WILL 
LIE OVER THE FORECAST AREA GENERALLY S OF 05N W OF 115W DURING 
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

$$
AL